Rogue One: A Star Wars Story already seems to be in a lock for the second-best opening in the franchise’s history, with fairly conservative estimates suggesting that the movie will crack $130M on its opening weekend in the United States and Canada.
Rogue One: A Star Wars Story is on pace to open to more than $130 million, according to pre-release tracking… Some box office agencies and tracking services have Rogue One opening even higher. If it hits those projections, Rogue One will enjoy the second-biggest debut ever for a December release. The record belongs to Star Wars: The Force Awakens, which kicked off its run with a $248 million bow last year. It went on to become the highest-grossing domestic release in history, earning $936.7 million in the U.S. and $2.1 billion globally. Disney, the studio behind the Star Wars franchise, has lowered expectations for Rogue One. Company head Bob Iger has said the studio is not expecting the film to do Force Awakens-level business because it exists outside of the main narrative about the Skywalker clan.
With this projection in mind, Rogue One will also be the second movie to have a $100M+ opening weekend in the month of December. We’ll probably get a better idea of how the movie is tracking once Disney finally makes ticket presales available – which they’ve neglected to do thus far for reasons unknown – as long as they release figures on how those do before the movie comes out. A good guess at when they might actually get that to happen in the United States is Thanksgiving night, as Disney has promised viewers of their television special an exclusive look at Rogue One.