Per Deadline, The Rise of Skywalker brought in $29.2M on its first Monday. That’s more than The Last Jedi‘s first Monday ($21.5M), but that comes with the caveat of The Last Jedi opening a week earlier than The Rise of Skywalker and not falling into the holiday frame. In any case, The Rise of Skywalker has now made $206.6M and counting, and it doesn’t appear as though mixed reviews compared to other recent Star Wars movies are doing much to hurt the movie’s overall performance. This week’s new releases – including Little Women, Spies in Disguise, and Uncut Gems – don’t target the same demographics as Star Wars, and as such aren’t expected to have an impact on the movie’s performance as it takes the #1 weekend once again.
Monday’s drop was a mere 27.1% compared to the 33.8% drop that The Force Awakens had, so that’s certainly promising, as is the estimate that the second three-day weekend will bring in between $70M and $80M. (Box Office Pro suggests that the total could rise higher to a $85M to $100M weekend.) Business tonight will likely see a downturn due to Christmas Eve being a factor that keeps many families at home, in spite of Tuesday discounts typically seeing a rise in ticket sales under normal circumstances. However, Christmas Day, which is always great for the box office, will subsequently make up for that shortfall. For frame of reference, The Last Jedi‘s big second-weekend drop was partially a result of the movie’s second Sunday falling on the holiday; meanwhile, The Force Awakens had Christmas Eve fall on the Thursday before the second weekend and a Christmas Day to kick the weekend off, and Rogue One had both a hit and a boost by the Christmas Eve and Christmas Day grosses falling on the same weekend.
Furthermore, the international total brought in an additional $28M yesterday, bringing its total up to $226.8M for a combined worldwide total of $433.4M when paired with the movie’s domestic haul to date. As expected, China doesn’t really care about Star Wars relative to the rest of the world with a $12.9M total, but totals from markets like the United Kingdom ($32.1M), Germany ($26.1M), France ($19.7M), Japan ($16.5M), and Australia ($14.2M) all show promising results.
UPDATE: Going back to the United States and Canada in mind, Tuesday’s domestic results have also come in with $20M, the second-best Christmas Eve result since The Force Awakens ($27.1M), and a much better Christmas Eve result than what the likes of The Last Jedi and Rogue One – which both fell on a weekend – got ($17.6M and $15.3M respectively). A similar amount will likely have been made overseas over the same period of time, so the movie has likely cleared $500M globally before Christmas Day comes to an end.
With Cats‘s dismal opening and poor reception, and Jumanji: The Next Level appearing to be more front-loaded that its predecessor – and having comparatively less enthusiastic reception – it appears unlikely that the one-two-punch of counter-programming that was The Greatest Showman and Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle is going to happen again here. The combination of the sleeper hit musical and the Dwayne “The Rock” Johnson-headed franchise soft-reboot both greatly outdid expectations and ended with a total that rivaled The Last Jedi‘s, but Cats appears to be box office kitty litter and Jumanji doesn’t have the advantage of opening after Star Wars this time, which was key to it out-legging The Last Jedi all the way into becoming Sony’s biggest hit at the domestic box office. The new Jumanji will still serve as decent competition to The Rise of Skywalker, although it doesn’t seem like it’s going to be that close, as those two movies will likely dominate box office grosses for the remainder of the year and early into next year.
Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker is now playing in theaters.